Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000150 0.000166 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000250 0.000279
2025-03-23 0.000120 0.000143 0.000169 0.000203 0.000245 0.000295 0.000359
2025-03-30 0.000104 0.000131 0.000165 0.000210 0.000269 0.000346 0.000453
2025-04-06 0.000089 0.000117 0.000153 0.000205 0.000277 0.000375 0.000521
2025-04-13 0.000076 0.000103 0.000140 0.000195 0.000275 0.000389 0.000568
2025-04-20 0.000069 0.000096 0.000136 0.000195 0.000287 0.000423 0.000649
2025-04-27 0.000064 0.000092 0.000134 0.000200 0.000304 0.000467 0.000751
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000087 0.000129 0.000198 0.000312 0.000497 0.000833
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000083 0.000126 0.000200 0.000325 0.000536 0.000936
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000078 0.000122 0.000198 0.000332 0.000565 0.001026
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000197 0.000340 0.000597 0.001124
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000195 0.000344 0.000623 0.001215
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000065 0.000107 0.000187 0.000338 0.000629 0.001269
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000062 0.000105 0.000188 0.000349 0.000671 0.001411
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000061 0.000106 0.000194 0.000372 0.000740 0.001624
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000058 0.000101 0.000190 0.000373 0.000763 0.001736
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000180 0.000362 0.000759 0.001780
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000051 0.000093 0.000181 0.000372 0.000804 0.001957
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000050 0.000093 0.000185 0.000390 0.000869 0.002201
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000048 0.000091 0.000183 0.000397 0.000907 0.002379
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000185 0.000409 0.000963 0.002619
2025-08-10 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000183 0.000415 0.001002 0.002819
2025-08-17 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000183 0.000422 0.001045 0.003042